Barack Obama has now taken 7 point leads in the newly released Time Magazine and Pew Research Polls.
The reasons are clear. Recent current events such as the economic crisis, th Presidential Debates and the demise of Sarah Palin has contributed to Obama's rise and McCain's relative decline.
Even a majority of Republicans, felt Obama did well on the debates. During the debates, Obama increased his ability to be seen as a leader in crisis, explained his tax policy, won on economics, held his own on Foreign policy, while appearing more bi-partisan and Presidential.
http://www.time.com/...
Here's Time Magazines opening paragraph:
Propelled by concerns over the financial crisis and a return of support from female voters, Barack Obama has opened a formidable 7-point lead over John McCain, reaching the 50% threshold among likely voters for the first time in the general campaign for President, according to a new TIME poll.
Time went on to say, that Obama's support was not only broader, but deeper, with more of his supporters saying that they were more committed to Obama than McCain.
What about Sarah Palin's affect on women you ask?:
Among the poll's most dramatic findings: McCain is losing female voters faster than Sarah Palin attracted them after the Republican convention. Obama leads McCain by 17 points with women, 55%-38%. Before the conventions, women preferred Obama by a margin of 10 points, 49%-39%. After McCain picked Palin as his running mate, the gap narrowed to a virtual tie, with Obama holding a one point margin, 48%-47%.
In a stark indication of just how much the political landscape has changed over the last four years, white women now favor Obama by three points, 48%-45%; in 2004, George W. Bush won the same demographic by 11 points against John Kerry. Where Bush carried married women by 15 points in that election, 57%-42%, Obama now leads by 6 points, 50%-44%, a 21-point shift.
Over 65% of Time's respondents said that the economy has worsened. fifty nine percent of those people chose Obama as the one to be better handling the economy (a 12pt advantage over McCain).
How about the debate? Obama kills again:
The TIME poll shows Obama gained some support after his performance at the presidential debate last Friday. Twenty-three percent of those who watched said it made them more likely to vote for Obama, while 16% said they were more likely to vote for McCain. Of the 73% of likely voters who watched the debate, 41% thought Obama won, while 27% thought McCain did.
For McCain, the most troubling sign may come not from the details of the poll, which are grim for Republicans, but from the historical context. No Democrat has crossed the 50% threshold in the general election since before Ronald Reagan was elected, let alone done so a month before the election.
Time went on to give some ominous warning to McCain. They mentioned that no democratic has won over 5)% of the vote in years, mind you with still one month to go. And they weren't to hopeful on MccCain catching up, cause they said Obama has a 61% favorability rating among all voter.
People like Obama now once they get to seem.
Here is the new Pew Poll title and opening paragraph says it all:
Obama Boosts Leadership Image and Regains Lead Over McCain
Growing Concerns About Palin's Qualifications
Barack Obama has achieved a significant lead over John McCain in the days following the first presidential debate. Pew’s new survey conducted Sept. 27-29 finds that Obama has moved to a 49% to 42% advantage among registered voters. The race was virtually even in mid-September and early August. Obama had not led McCain by a significant margin in a Pew survey since June.
http://people-press.org/...
The Trends are "a moving in Obama's direction".
Now the Pew Poll was chock full of so much information, there is no way I could post it all here, without having Markos arrested and the site shut down. Their info was just incredible.
But a few takes frome their poll (similar to Time's).
- Obama clearly won the debate and this has helped him immensely.
- Obama appears better qualified to deal with the financial meltdown and crisis.
- Palin has steadily declined and is now hurting McCain big time.
- Obama has made significant strides with white voters.
- Voters across the board (all demographics), now have a better opinion of Barack Obama.
Excellent news.
Here are the polls respondents views of Sarah Palin, John McCain:
There is a clear correlation between views of Palin’s qualifications and support for McCain, which may be hurting the GOP candidate. Fewer people see her as qualified to become president, and the balance of opinion toward Palin has grown more negative since early September. Unfavorable views of the Alaska governor have increased among most demographic and political groups, with GOP voters a notable exception. Currently, a narrow majority of independent voters (54%) express a favorable view of Palin, while 37% are unfavorable. In early September, positive impressions of Palin among independents outnumbered negative opinions by greater than two-to-one (60% vs. 27%).
Mmmmh? So I guess Caribou Barbie really doesn't help after all.